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The Haves And The Have Nots

9/8/2023

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Data Centers in Northern Virginia need more power.  They can't get it from local suppliers in Virginia, therefore regional grid operator PJM Interconnection has asked for new transmission proposals to import new electricity supply to serve the Northern Virginia data centers.

But why can't they build more renewables in Virginia to power the data centers, you ask?  First of all, the data centers need as much electricity as a large city.  Imagine taking New York City and plunking it down next to Dulles Airport and expecting to hook up to the existing electric system.  The data centers use half as much as NYC!  The load is just too great to solve with new renewable generators at load.  This is a fact that seems to be escaping the elected officials in Virginia -- they don't realize how much electricity these data centers use.
Bates said he didn’t realize running a power line to a data center was considered a transmission line. 
We all need to educate our local officials on the consequences of building energy sucking data centers in our communities.  It's not just a distribution service line on small wooden poles like homes or businesses use.  The power requirements are so great that data centers need big new high-voltage transmission lines and substations.  They also need big new energy generators to produce the energy used.

Transmission opponent Patti Hankins from Harford County, Maryland, has put together an eye-opening presentation showing the energy supply profiles of several Mid-Atlantic states.  Is your state an electricity importer or an electricity exporter?  Nobody seems to be paying attention to this important fact these days, when everyone seems to be focused on increasing renewable generation and phasing out fossil fuels like coal, gas and oil.  The media drones on incessantly about closing fossil fuel generators, and many people think that renewables like wind and solar supply a huge amount of our energy.  What's really happening up the line when you turn on your light switch?

​This presentation tells you everything you need to know.
comparison_of_pjm_state_installed_capacity_2022.pdf
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Did you know that Pennsylvania and West Virginia are the only two states in our region that export electricity to other states?  Pennsylvania's electricity is mainly created from natural gas, with coal and nuclear making up the vast majority of the remainder.  In West Virginia, the numbers are even more astounding, with 91% of the supply created by burning coal.  Natural gas makes up the majority of the remainder.  In both Pennsylvania and West Virginia, wind and solar provide so little energy that it's hard to even see their slice of the pie.

On the other hand, states like Virginia, Maryland, the District of Columbia (that imports 99% of the electricity it uses!), Delaware, New Jersey and Ohio are big energy importers.  These states all have renewable energy goals and policies that have served to shut down a big majority of the fossil fuel electric generators that used to supply their energy.  Additions of wind and solar have not kept up with the supply lost by closing fossil fuel generators.  Even in these renewable loving states, wind and solar make up a very small percentage of the power that is used.  The percentage is so small that it cannot support the state's electric load under any circumstances.  So, where do these states get their electricity?  From West Virginia and Pennsylvania via high-voltage transmission lines.  Little do these states know that when they turn on the light switch, they are using good, old-fashioned coal and natural gas.  And they stand ready to INCREASE their use of fossil fuels by building more energy hogs in their areas.  This is the reason PJM is currently proposing a high-voltage transmission build out of epic proportions.

The thought of building the big baseload generators needed to power the new data centers near the data centers isn't even contemplated.  It would never happen!  However, why is it okay to increase the burning of fossil fuels in other states in order to power new data centers?  Don't we all breathe the same air?  Who's the NIMBY now?

We're not as far along on a renewable energy transition as people are being told by the media.  Wind and solar is getting all the attention (and government handouts), but it's actually powering little.  The corporations, utilities, and local governments lie about how "clean and green" they are.  If they actually only used the renewable energy they produce, their lights would be out for a vast majority of the time.  Without West Virginia and Pennsylvania burning fossil fuels, polluting their environments, and sacrificing to build gigantic new electric transmission line extension cords to the east coast cities, these areas would experience rolling blackouts worse than a third-world nation.  

Another lie the media loves is that we need to build new high-voltage transmission to ship renewable energy around the country.  After looking at these graphs and maps, you'll realize this just can't happen.  We are currently stuck in a world of HAVES and HAVE NOTS.  West Virginia and Pennsylvania HAVE the electricity and Virginia, Maryland, DC, Delaware and New Jersey HAVE NOT.  What's really going to be on these new transmission lines is fossil fuel electricity from states with enough to export.  So while the federal government comes up with new programs and taxpayer-funded giveaways to grease the skids for new transmission, they must acknowledge that the only thing they are actually doing is INCREASING emissions.

Elected officials considering new plans for data centers and other big energy hogs that they hope will bring new tax revenue, jobs, and economic development need to recognize that their state does not have enough electricity supply to support this new infrastructure.  New transmission lines from states that burn fossil fuels is not the answer.  The data center boom must be paused until the localities that will reap the financial rewards can build the clean infrastructure they will need to support it.
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What Will Be On New PJM Lines?

8/25/2023

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PJM Interconnection is the grid planner for the Mid-Atlantic region.  PJM's job is to keep the grid reliable and the electricity markets competitive.  When load increases in PJM's region without a corresponding increase in generation of electricity, reliability suffers.  When reliability is threatened, PJM springs into action and plans new transmission to solve the impending crisis.  If PJM did not act, we'd soon experience brown outs and black outs and the whole PJM system would crash.  The most logical solution for PJM would be to order new generation near sources of increased load.  However, PJM cannot order new generation, it can only order new transmission.  Electric generation is a market-based, competitive endeavor.  If demand increases prices in a certain load pocket, then the generation market receives a signal that it would be profitable for new generation to build for that load.  It works, in theory, but sadly not in practice.  PJM's  reliability focused transmission planners never let the market work to spur new generation.  When prices increase, or reliability issues crop up on the horizon, PJM orders new transmission to solve the problem before any new generators are even contemplated.  PJM complains about the loss of baseload generation without replacement, but fails to acknowledge its own role in creating the problem.

Over the past decade or so, Northern Virginia has become the data center capital of the country.  Data centers use a LOT of electricity.  This recent article says that Amazon data centers in Northern Virginia use half as much electricity as New York City every day, and 35% more than the entire power grid of the company's hometown city of Seattle.  That's a huge electric load currently being built out in Northern Virginia without a corresponding increase in electric generation.  PJM says the data centers are creating a reliability issue and it has opened a request for proposals to solve it using transmission.  The goal is to export a whole bunch of electricity to Northern Virginia, and PJM's utility members wasted no time in creating new transmission lines that would connect the generators they own to Northern Virginia.
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One such proposal from FirstEnergy envisions two new 500kV lines from West Virginia to a substation in Frederick County, Maryland.  Other utilities have proposed new lines from that substation to Northern Virginia, completing the new extension cords.

Extension cords are exactly what these new transmission lines are.  They plug in at struggling FirstEnergy-owned electric generators in West Virginia and provide a pathway for additional electricity generated in West Virginia to power the data centers in Northern Virginia.

The map shows the northern line of this proposal beginning at Fort Martin, West Virginia.  Fort Martin is the location of FirstEnergy's coal-fired Ft. Martin Power Station.
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The plant uses more than 2.8 million tons of coal annually and at full capacity the plant’s generating units can produce more than 26 million kilowatt-hours of electricity daily.  Read more here. 

Of course, nobody wants coal-fired electricity any more and FirstEnergy has been toying with closing or selling some of these plants.  And then the PJM serendipity fairy arrived!  PJM needs transmission to bring a new supply of power to No. Va., and FirstEnergy can bolster the future economic success of its failing generators by connecting it to data center load.  And FirstEnergy's proposal was born.

The southern line of FirstEnergy's proposal is shown on the map as beginning at Pruntytown, WV.  Pruntytown is a gigantic substation where many electric generators in the area connect to the grid.  One such plant is FirstEnergy's Harrison Power Station in Haywood, West Virginia.

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Harrison uses more than five million tons of coal annually and at full capacity the plant’s generating units can produce over 47 million kilowatt-hours of electricity daily.  Read more about Harrison here.  FirstEnergy's bottom line wins again with this proposal!

But did anyone ask Northern Virginia if they wanted to import dirty coal-fired electricity from West Virginia to power their data centers?  PJM?  FirstEnergy?  Dominion?  These entities are going to have a really hard time selling this to a community with clean energy goals and aspirations.  The D.C. metro area is so worried about climate change that they have closed many fossil fuel generators in their own neighborhoods.  Why would these people just look the other way and shrug about increasing their carbon footprint every time they turn on the light switch?  Would local governments in Northern Virginia keep approving new data centers that need power if they knew they were increasing regional air pollution?  Where's the tipping point here?

In addition to the burning of more coal to produce more electricity in West Virginia, FirstEnergy's proposals also plan on hundreds of miles of new transmission rights of way across private property between West Virginia and Northern Virginia.  None of these affected landowners need this new electric supply.  It's simply passing through on its way to corporate users in D.C.'s growing urban sprawl.

Of course, FirstEnergy's proposal is only one of 72 that PJM received.  Other utilities have proposed connecting their nuclear and gas fired power stations in south eastern Pennsylvania to the data center load via new transmission lines.  Numerous proposals begin at the Peach Bottom Atomic Power Station in Delta, PA and the gas-fired York Energy Center in the same town.  Still other proposals want to connect the data center load to American Electric Power's massive 765kV transmission system in the Ohio Valley, where numerous fossil fuel plants are struggling to survive.  See the 765 lines on this map:

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The endpoint of AEP's 765kV system in Virginia is at a substation called Joshua Falls.  New lines beginning at Joshua Falls connect to the data center load as shown on this proposal map submitted to PJM by AEP subsidiary Transource.
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Northern Virginia communities need to go into this new power supply for their data centers with their eyes wide open.  Are all the "benefits" they are receiving from the massive data center build out worth increasing their carbon footprint?  Why are other communities in rural areas hundreds of miles from the data centers being forced to sacrifice their land and in some instances, the very air they breathe, so that Northern Virginia counties can increase their tax revenue and their sprawl?  If these counties are receiving all the benefits from the data center buildout, shouldn't they also step up and shoulder the negative impacts by building new coal, gas, and nuclear power stations in their own communities?

There has to be a better solution than this!
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PJM's Implausible Deniability

8/18/2023

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 Regional grid planner/operator PJM Interconnection says that it selects proposed projects based, in part, on their "constructibility."  Other factors PJM considers are cost, and whether or not the proposal solves all the grid issues in the RFP (which PJM calls an "Open Window').

PJM's credibility goes right out the window, though, when it ignores "constructibility" issues and pretends the projects it selects are "constructible."

What is "constructibility"?  It's the likelihood of permitting problems, the ease of getting equipment and supplies, and OPPOSITION.  Let me say that again... the likelihood of opposition to a transmission proposal developing makes it less likely that the project will actually ever be built.  That's why utilities should never site new projects on old routes from abandoned projects that developed opposition.  If a transmission project was opposed at that location in the past, there's a 100% chance that opposition will develop there again.

If PJM really cared about "constructibility" it would conduct public outreach before selecting new transmission projects.  But what if PJM is simply erecting a smoke screen of "plausible deniability" so it can pretend unconstructible projects that it favors are actually viable?

And if PJM was constructing a "plausible deniability" constructibility scenario, it would rely on the most implausible claims of the utilities that have proposed the projects.

Here are some actual claims made by project proponents in their proposals to PJM.
A large scale set of projects that solve the growing congestion issues in the southern Pennsylvania/northern Virginia/Maryland/West Virginia area. The project involves strategic rebuilds, substation upgrades, and greenfield transmission lines that primarily follow existing corridor. This strategic use of existing corridor greatly reduces the risk of projects being delayed due to opposition.

Colocating the line with the existing transmission line helps mitigate viewshed issues and permitting risk.
No.  It does not.  Cutting a new corridor next to an existing one does not prevent opposition.  Those folks with existing corridors on their property don't want another, and they don't want to lose more land to an electric line that provides no benefit to them.  You can't expect the same people to make the same sacrifice over and over again for the benefit of others who never make any sacrifice.
A cultural resource professional assisted with the routing process to identify and minimize impacts to known areas with historic sensitivities.
The utility hired the right contractor who didn't find what he was paid not to find.  Why should anyone believe a paid utility consultant?  This contractor's idea of "historic" is probably not the same as yours.  If it's not on the Historic Register or preserved in some way, it is likely to be destroyed.  Opposition doesn't care about some contractor's opinion.  Opposition forms and acts based on it's own opinion.  Hiring a contractor does not increase constructibility.
There are no unique or sensitive environmental concerns or impacts with the proposed transmission line that cannot be addressed.
But you didn't ask the landowners who live there what they think and they are the ones who control opposition.  What does "addressed" mean?  It means the utility blows a lot of smoke and nonsense and plows ahead according to its own plan.  Then the utility can say it "addressed" your concerns... by telling you your concerns are stupid.
The combination of these three elements provides a comprehensive solution for the current requirements in the area.  Four documents are attached to show the progress already made on this...
Except you forgot to mention that the PA PUC already denied your application for this project the first time it was ordered by PJM.  Ordering it a second time does not change the PA PUC's mind.  And it certainly does not change the minds of the impacted landowners who created massive opposition.

But, but, but....
The Rice-Ringgold 230kV Route is the result of a robust siting and outreach process which included input from landowners, local officials, and key stakeholders on a multitude of study segments. The proposed route will be 130 feet in width, parallels existing rights-of-way including interstates, roads,railroads, and existing transmission lines for 42% of its length, and best minimizes potential impacts to the natural and human environments. The extensive Siting Study is available for review under PA PUC docket A-2017-2640200. In addition, the Proposing Entity has been able to obtain 70% of the required ROW, via option agreements or easements, for the Rice-Ringgold 230kV line route.
Oh, you mean the PA PUC docket where they denied your first permit application?  The landowners refused to go along with the transmission plan.  What good is their "input" when it consisted of a firm "no."  And speaking of "robust" how many of those landowners have you consulted about bringing this project back from the dead?  I'm going to bet it is ZERO.  They will oppose this project again.  Guaranteed.

But, but, but...
The project will use steel, monopole structures with foundations. The use of steel monopoles was determined during the siting of the Proposed Solution due to significant landowner opposition to lattice towers, particularly in agricultural areas.
That flat out never happened.  Landowners objected to the project itself, not just the tower structures.  The utility simply made up a landowner preference for monopoles.  It's sort of like asking... would you rather be shot or stabbed?
As the Proposed Solution continues to move forward, representatives will continue to be available throughout construction to answer questions from landowners.
And that stops opposition how?  Landowners have long ago stopped believing any of the lies the utility tells them.
The Peach Bottom - Doubs Route is mostly in rural areas. Northern portion of the route is located in southern Pennsylvania with rural and farmed properties and then the route heads to the west. The route is to the north and west of Westminster and then heads in a south-westerly direction to Doubs.
Rural people hate transmission at least as much (or more) than suburban/urban people.  This is because those rural farm folk depend on their land to make a living.  When portions of the land are removed from production and devoted to new transmission lines, it reduces the farm's income.  Just think... what if a transmission line in your back yard took part of your paycheck away from you every pay day?  Rural siting does not make a project more constructible.
PSE&G will coordinate all outreach, real estate-related requests, and efforts to identify environmental and non-environmental conditions affecting the properties along the proposed Project route. Working collaboratively with our internal Outreach Team, PSE&G will coordinate stakeholder engagement and public outreach with land acquisition planning. This level of collaboration will help to ensure proactive and cohesive stakeholder communications in order to better serve landowners and impacted individuals and entities. PSE&G contemplates the need for access roads and areas, as part of any lands to be acquired
 
PSEG has identified several properties that are suitable for this proposed solution. The Project Team has initiated contact with the property owners and will continue to work to acquire site control in the event of award. The Project Team will work with impacted stakeholders, municipalities, and local authorities to obtain the necessary property rights to construct and maintain its facilities. While this solution is located outside of PSE&G territory, PSE&G is committed to a transparent, timely, and efficient land rights acquisition process for any site control required. PSE&G intends to utilize the same land acquisition professionals from start to finish, ensuring landowners have the same team assigned to their negotiations throughout the process.
You get the same annoying land agent showing up unannounced at your home, and maybe your job, and calling you incessantly.  Maybe they'll even contact other family members, neighbors or friends and ask them why you're resisting.  Land agents are aggressive jerks.  Having the same one bothering you is not a benefit.

Outreach is just another word for outrageous lies and one-way information.  Any suggestions you make will be ignored.  You will be promised all sorts of stuff (but never in writing).  Reality is going to be very different.

It doesn't matter how much "information" you spew, landowners still don't want your project and will form a wave of opposition.
The greenfield transmission line between North Delta station and Northeast station will require an ROW with a width of 85 feet in residential areas and 100 feet farmland.
But it's the same project in both places!  Why take more land if it's a farm?  Do you think farmers have more to spare?  Inequitable treatment fuels opposition.
ROW will be acquired to widen the existing transmission line corridor from 150 feet to 200 feet.  Approximately 102 acres of additional ROW will be acquired, which is all privately owned.  Negotiations with private landowners will be based on fair market values determined by a third-party  appraiser. Negotiations with private landowners will be conducted by PPL ROW Agents and PPL contracted ROW agents.
That third-party appraiser?  He's just another hired utility contractor paid to find what the utility wants him to find.  He likely lives in another state and has never even set foot in your county.  His job is to research land sale prices in your county and find the lowest ones he can so the utility can offer you rock bottom and tell you it is "fair market value."  The utility only pays you for the value of the land in the easement.  It does not pay damages to the remainder.  It does not pay for decreased property value.  It does not pay for permanent loss of income.  This is nothing more than standard procedure for ROW acquisition.  There's nothing special about it that makes it more likely the project can be constructed without opposition.
PPL Electric is committed to open communications and transparency throughout the project lifecycle. As such, PPL Electric develops a project-specific Community and Outreach Plan based on the unique conditions associated with each project. To communicate clearly and transparently, PPL Electric utilizes a wide variety of strategies including, in-person meetings with local municipalities and regulators, direct mail, project websites, fact sheets, frequently asked questions, and public open houses. For example, during previous projects, PPL Electric has developed a strategic public outreach program that served as the cornerstone of project success. The program included soliciting input from, and providing timely updates to, external stakeholders from the onset of the project through to completion. This was achieved using face to face meetings, direct mailings, multiple rounds of open houses, fact sheets, press releases and an interactive website.
Sounds just like every other transmission "outreach plan."  It's a flurry of secret gladhanding meetings with public officials, a lot of lies, and a complete lack of compromise.  Landowners aren't fooled by this.  Opposition will develop.  There was never a "success."  Landowners were harmed and they hate you.
Most high-voltage transmission projects will require a state siting approval. To begin the siting approval process, Proposer plans to hold pre-application meetings with the regulatory agency to introduce Proposer and the Project, as well as confirm its understanding of the process. Shortly thereafter, Proposer will simultaneously begin collecting siting data and start its outreach efforts so that public siting input is incorporated at the earliest stages of the Project. Once the Proposer identifies a preferred site/route and at least one viable alternative site/route, Proposer will carry out environmental and detailed engineering work in order to establish a highly- detailed Project plan to support the siting applications.
Oh yes, secret meetings with their friends at the regulatory commission before they file an application and before the landowner or the public knows about it.  "The earliest stages of the project" has long passed by the time the public finds out about it and starts making suggestions for alternatives.  That's the one thing that scares these clowns the most... you finding out about their plans before they want you to know... and trying to change the project in publicly beneficial ways.  There are many ways to build transmission (or not), but the utility wants to do it THEIR way on YOUR property and they doesn't want to hear any suggestions from you.

And finally, here's the ultimate word salad about "robust public outreach" that only begins after all the important decisions have been made and the only role left for impacted landowners and the public is to comply.  This is how opposition forms.  Landowners matter!
The Company is committed to working with all interested stakeholders through a robust public outreach program to address/respond to community concerns and inform the public about the project to the greatest extent practicable. The Company believes a well-designed public outreach program can have numerous benefits, including fostering a cooperative relationship with landowners and other stakeholders, expediting the regulatory permitting process, and assisting with project development. In general, the purpose of the community outreach plan is to gain community support for the project. In the affected communities, the Company’s public outreach plan will educate the public and relevant stakeholders on specific project details to enable timely regulatory approvals and construction activities. Elements of the public outreach plan will include the following:1) Identify potential issues at an early stage by engagement with key community stakeholders at the outset; 2) Broaden the community engagement process to identify potential and relevant community benefits that can facilitate community support for the proposed project; 3) Develop a broad base of community support for the proposed project before the regulatory agencies; and 4) Develop a comprehensive administrative record documenting the community outreach process that can be presented to the regulatory agency or, in the event of a legal challenge, to the appropriate court.  The outreach plan proposes to dedicate considerable time and resources in engaging the community, and specifically the affected community during the planning process to identify highly sensitive areas that have the least amount of cultural, environmental, and social impacts on the community. The plans will reflect avoidance of impacts rather than mitigation. However, in some cases, if avoidance is not possible, then the Company will involve the community in providing appropriate and practical mitigation measures. The Company will commence its public outreach activities following project award.
Landowners will NEVER cooperate or support the transmission project.  This old public relations schtick has been tried over and over again and it is always a miserable failure that starts a wildfire of opposition that makes a transmission project unconstructible.

"Community benefits"?  What's that?  It's rewarding the larger community unaffected by the transmission project with trinkets and gifts for their cooperation.  The "community" loses nothing and makes no sacrifice.  It's all gain and no pain.  The landowner, however, takes one for the team and is not comforted at all by the new library across town.  "Community benefits" attempts to split your community into sacrificial lambs and greedy pigs.  Landowners must be compensated by law because they are losing something tangible.  "The Community" isn't compensated because it's not losing anything.  There's a reason for that.  Not all communities can be bribed to throw their neighbors under the bus.  In fact, it may actually increase opposition.

This is the reality that PJM does not want to hear.  It prefers to live in the land of lies created by the transmission companies where it can claim plausible deniability because the transmission companies filled their proposals with lies about constructibility.

Isn't it time you gave them a little reality so that they have to evaluate these projects honestly?
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New FirstEnergy Transmission Proposal at PJM Interconnection

8/15/2023

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Here it is... all in one place.
2023_firstenergy_transmission_plan.pdf
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If you've been looking for more information about FirstEnergy's proposal for TWO new 500kV transmission lines from northwestern West Virginia to suburban Maryland, this is all the information currently available.

Spread the word!

PJM is currently evaluating 72 transmission proposals to find the ones it thinks will work best to bring more electricity to power more data centers in Northern Virginia.  FirstEnergy's proposals oh so conveniently supply coal-fired electricity from their Ft. Martin and Harrison power stations in northern West Virginia.

PJM is expected to finish its evaluation in September and has promised to hold a special Transmission Expansion Advisory Committee Meeting in October to reveal its choices and discuss before it recommends approval from the PJM Board of Managers.  Lots of PJM activity coming up for your participation.  Keep checking back for more instructions!
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Game on, PJM!

8/9/2023

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I just sent the following to PJM TEAC facilitators Sami Abdulsalam and David Souder.
PJM’s Reliability Analysis presentation at the August 8, 2023 TEAC demonstrates a marked concern for routing/siting/permitting/scheduling risks of certain component segments submitted in 2022 RTEP Window 3.  I appreciate that PJM is considering these factors.  After all, what good is a transmission project that cannot be built due to opposition?

My review of the projects submitted in Window 3 finds that several of these projects are reinvention of old projects, either in whole or in part, that PJM approved years ago and then later abandoned or suspended.  Three of these historic projects are the Potomac-Appalachian Transmission Highline (now FE-23 and FE-837), the Mid-Atlantic Power Pathway (now Exelon-691), and the Independence Energy Connection (now Transource-487).  These projects have cost PJM ratepayers hundreds of millions of dollars in development and legal fees despite never being built.

No matter what reason PJM recorded for the suspension and abandonment of these three transmission projects, the fact remains that each of these projects was met with a wall of resistance from landowner groups, state/local governments, elected officials, public interest groups, and impacted communities.  Opposition to PATH, MAPP and IEC prevented approval and construction of these projects and added considerable delays to their schedule.  Entities that opposed these projects the first time around are knowledgeable and prepared to oppose them again.  The impacts of these projects, which made them objectionable in the first place, have not changed.  The only difference now is that the opposition is better educated and better prepared to win this battle.

I asked during the TEAC how PJM could receive comments from impacted communities to consider as part of their constructibility studies for the projects.  I heard from you that stakeholders could voice their concerns during TEAC meetings, as I was doing, or contact something called “Stakeholder Engagement Group.”  Neither option actually incorporates the stakeholder comment into the constructibility report outcome.

I have read some of PJM’s “constructibility reports” in the past.  The one for the Independence Energy Connection particularly stands out in my mind, as that constructibility report found significant opposition would not occur because the project was routed on “undeveloped land.”   That “undeveloped land” is prime farmland, important to its owners and the community it supports.  The owners of this “undeveloped land” are highly educated, well connected, and capable of preventing this project from being constructed as originally ordered by PJM.  In conclusion, PJM’s constructibility report was dead wrong because the entity that prepared it was woefully uninformed about transmission opposition and real conditions on the ground.  These are areas where public comment and consultation can be incorporated into the constructibility report to improve its historic lack of accuracy.

The presentation at yesterday’s TEAC mentioned “Utilization of existing ROWs and brownfield development/expansion.”  Existing ROWs include more than just transmission or utility ROWs.  New technologies and policies are opening existing transportation ROWs to new transmission infrastructure.  These ROWs are ideal for burying HVDC for the purpose of transporting electricity from one market to another, not serving communities along the way.  Window 3 seems to concentrate on importing new power supply to the data centers.  HVDC buried on transportation ROWs may be a solution supported by impacted communities. See more: https://theray.org/technology/transmission/

Expansion of existing transmission ROWs by adding parallel lines is NOT a solution to routing issues.  PJM needs to re-think this unworkable approach.  While existing transmission built in the last century may have been routed on agricultural land, aka “undeveloped land”, the land use conditions that existed when the transmission line was built in 1950 will not be the same in 2023, especially in the growing PJM region.  Many former farms have been sold and re-developed into new housing communities and other uses.  The community has built itself up around the existing transmission line, often with new homes, schools, and other expansion right up to the edge of the existing ROW.  Expanding the existing ROW cannot happen without destroying this new development.  This was one of PATH’s biggest problems in Jefferson County, West Virginia.  Housing developments had sprung up to surround existing transmission lines and expansion of the ROW would begin to destroy portions of these communities.  This problem has not changed in the 15 years since.  In fact, it’s gotten much worse.  However, FirstEnergy’s submitted projects depend on expanding these ROWs to build new lines parallel to existing ones.  While I recognize PJM does not design the routes for its projects, it still must be cognizant of the project’s shortcomings and risk in order to be successful at what it does do.

There’s a lot that PJM (and its member utilities and constructibility report contractors) do not know about the dynamics of transmission opposition.   Much can be learned from study of scholarly research on the social aspects of opposition.  It is not simply a “NIMBY” issue that can be solved by routing elsewhere.  Impacted people need to examine the problem and be involved in the creation of a solution.  PJM has historically ordered transmission and left the designated entity to approach the community with a pre-determined transmission solution and consult with them about where to put it.  This is not a choice for the impacted community and they will reject it every time.  While investigating the basis of the need for the project, the community will develop other solutions to solve the problem, such as use of existing rights-of-way, upgrading of existing lines, burying lines, allowing the market to demand new generation before building transmission, as well as other demand side solutions such as energy efficiency and distributed generation.  The designated entity and PJM have resisted any and all suggested modifications to their plans, and as a result the project never gets built.  Is PJM about building workable solutions, or spending eternity trying to foist its will on a public that doesn’t want or need it?

PJM prides itself on its “transparency”, but lacks any avenue for true stakeholder participation.  Stakeholder consultation should begin in the project planning phase so that PJM doesn’t waste time and money pursuing projects that are not constructible.  Allowing stakeholders to make comments that are never considered or acted upon is a parody of democracy.  I ask that PJM create a way to accept public comments and incorporate them into its planning, particularly for such an enormous undertaking as Window 3.  I have tried to find the “stakeholder engagement group” you suggested during the TEAC, but cannot find anything like that on PJM’s website.  I would appreciate a substantive response to this comment/suggestion, not just an acknowledgement it has been received (and ignored).
As you might have guessed, I participated in yesterday's TEAC by telephone.  It has been many years since I attended a PJM meeting or raided its free M&M dispensers (plain or peanut?).  But PJM is now at the beginning of a new initiative that makes yesterday's Project Mountaineer look like child's play.  PJM wants to import insane amounts of power from the east and the west to power new data centers in the DC-metro area.  PJM received more than 70 proposals from greedy transmission developers to make this happen.  Many of them simply recycled old projects (or parts of them) that were cancelled years ago, such as the old PATH project in Virginia, Maryland and the West Virginia eastern panhandle.  Take a quick browse through these maps to get an idea of the magnitude.

As you read above, I asked where PJM might consult with the public about some of these projects while evaluating them to see how feasible they are before we waste another 10 years and hundreds of millions trying to build something impossible like PATH or MAPP or IEC.  I was pretty much blown off and told that PJM does its own constructibility evaluations.  In other words, comments from impacted communities are not part of the process.  Because I continued to push, I was told to send a follow up email.  This is the result.

Currently, anyone concerned about a PJM proposal is welcome to make comment at PJM TEAC meetings.  You get unlimited time to speak over the phone at a PJM meeting, where you have a captive audience for your thoughts and ideas.  What a great opportunity!  All you have to do is sign up for a PJM account and register for the meeting of your choice.  Call the phone number, and when the question part arrives, push a button.  Instant audience.  Of course, hearing unlimited public comment from hundreds of concerned people at each PJM TEAC is going to make the meetings just a bit longer.  Soon, it's just going to be one long, continuous meeting where the commenters never stop making comments and the party never ends.

Or, PJM can find a constructive way to welcome and make use of public comment.

Next TEAC is September 5.  Are you in?
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Fits of Fantasy

7/19/2023

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I think the phrase is actually flights of fantasy, but... well, you'll see.

Data centers.  Have you ever really thought about them when you're poking around online and the world is at your fingertips?  Probably not, but we have to have a place to store all our big data that we just can't seem to part with.  We're full-blown digital hoarders. 

Data centers use a huge amount of electricity, and they must have a steady supply 24/7, 365.  Data centers depend on enormous backup generators (that run of fossil fuels) in the event of a power outage.  Data centers require on demand, reliable power.

But this industry fit of fantasy proclaims that we can run data centers on 100% renewable power.  No, we can't.  We don't have the technology to produce on-demand supplies of electricity from 100% renewable generators.  Wind and solar only run part of the time, when their fuel is made available by Mother Nature.  A data center that relies 100% on wind and solar will 100% use its backup generators for at least 50% of the time.  And doesn't that defeat the purpose of "clean energy" in the first place?

The fit of fantasy examines several data center clusters in the U.S., including the nation's largest data center market in Northern Virginia.  Northern Virginia data centers operate on 94% fossil fuel electricity.  94%!!!!  That's the type of power needed to power a 24/7 365 power hog like data centers.

But, never fear, this fit of fantasy thinks the problem can be solved by building new transmission.  I'm going to guess the author hasn't bothered to examine PJM's recent competitive solicitation for new transmission projects to solve the issue of powering Northern Virginia's data center power suck.  It looks like this.
Picture
One proposed solution simply imports more fossil fuel electricity from the Ohio Valley.  That's sure to speed the "transition" (to 100% fossil fuel power).  Other solutions pump fossil fuel electricity in from Pennsylvania.  It's all about importing more fossil fuel electricity instead of building reliable renewable generators near the load.  That's because, first of all, PJM can only order transmission, not generation, and second wind and solar cannot supply reliable power that will run a data center 24/7 365.

Where's the disconnect?
The superficial examination of how easy it will be to build new transmission is where this fantasy starts having fits.
Plans to transition U.S. data centers to renewable energy power sources are impeded by current utility transmission infrastructure. The main problems are outdated power lines, delays in planning and permitting for new transmission and distribution projects and supply chain bottlenecks. Upgrading existing transmission lines can take as long as three years, according to the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, due to time-consuming regulatory hurdles, resulting in multi-million-dollar costs.

An electric line is just an empty extension cord, not plugged in to anything.  Unplugged extension cords do not produce electricity.  What you need is another plug -- a reliable generator on site.  Having extra extension cords won't produce power if there's no place to plug them in.  Not having enough extension cords is not the problem.  "Time consuming regulatory hurdles" is something this author doesn't know anything about.  There are no hurdles for simple rebuilds on existing rights-of-way.  More extension cords are not the answer.


Upgrading power transmission infrastructure to accommodate renewable energy sources is a top priority for utility companies. Recently adopted federal legislation provides $2.5 billion in public funding for this effort. Additionally, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) plans to study and address these ongoing issues. Utility companies are cooperating with regulators, city officials, operators and developers throughout the U.S. to improve connectivity.

Do you have any idea how much "power transmission infrastructure" costs?  A good sized transmission project that connects renewable energy resources easily costs MORE THAN $2.5 billion.  Qu'est-ce que "public funding"?  There's no such thing.  What they meant to say is TAXPAYER FUNDING by people like you.  This legislation won't do anything but complicate things.  How many times has the federal government run to the rescue with handfuls of cash and solved a problem efficiently and cheaply?  FERC plans to study and address them?  How?  Do tell!  I'm betting you don't even have a ghost of an idea.

This report highlights select regional data center markets that are working to advance renewable energy power availability and solve transmission and distribution issues. These markets all depend on local renewable energy sources and are at the forefront of a transition necessary for the data center industry to grow on a sustainable basis.

WTH?  These markets depend on local renewable energy sources?  Where are they going to put millions of acres of solar panels and wind turbines in crowded Northern Virginia when every square inch of available real estate is covered with data centers, warehouses, and urban sprawl?  What you're depending on is faked "plans" by utilities checking the politically correct boxes while raking in a huge pile of money.  Dominion doesn't give a fig about the environment, or your data center.  It only loves money.  Dominion will say or do anything, even if it knows what it is saying is impossible, as long as foolish data center companies enable bigger profits for Dominion.

The data center industry cannot grow on a sustainable basis unless they starting building nuclear plants inside the data centers.

Fits of fantasy.  No matter how much fiction you write, you cannot force it into being.
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Transmission Leftovers

7/16/2023

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Some things are better the second time around, like lasagna and chili.  Transmission projects, however, are not good leftovers.  Once a transmission idea is proposed to the public, vehemently contested, and eventually shelved as unneeded and impossible, it can never come back from the dead.

Or can it?

The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act and the Inflation Reduction Act have created a new transmission feeding frenzy from coast to coast.  Now that the government is giving away your tax dollars to provide incentive to build new transmission "for renewables," utilities and transmission developers are falling all over themselves to belly up to the buffet.  There is no actual plan for what transmission needs to be built, any transmission will do.  It's about quantity, not quality.  They just can't propose transmission fast enough.  And apparently some utilities are simply recycling old transmission projects from the last decade that were never built.

Remember the Mid-Atlantic Power Pathway, or MAPP, project?  Proposed around 2007, this hotly opposed transmission project across Maryland's eastern shore was finally abandoned several years later, citing lack of need.  The utilities behind this horrible idea were fully reimbursed for their sunk costs by ratepayers who would have "benefited" from the project.  If my memory serves, it was something like $80M that we paid for a transmission project that was never constructed.

The MAPP project is back, one of dozens of new transmission proposals currently being evaluated by grid planner PJM.  They even recycled the name... once again calling it MAPP.
Project title:  Mid-Atlantic Power Pathway (MAPP)

Project description:  Exelon is proposing a 230 mile, 500 kV AC / 400 kV DC high-voltage transmission line originating in Northern Virginia, crossing Maryland, traveling up the Delmarva Peninsula and terminating in southern New Jersey.

Do they think the folks who fought MAPP have forgotten?  It's only been 15 years.  They remember, and many are still around, with all the knowledge they gained fighting MAPP the first time.

Transmission fatigue is a thing.  Communities who have fought a transmission line are instantly opposed to another proposed for the same area, and they know what to do because they've ridden in this rodeo before.  A recent transmission proposal through New Hampshire is giving communities that fought the scrapped Northern Pass project PTSD.
When four representatives of National Grid came before Concord City Council on Monday to start the long process of expanding a power line through the state bringing electricity from HydroQuebec, they soon encountered a ghost.

“Our community still suffers from PTSD with regard to Northern Pass,” Councilor Jennifer Kretovic told them. “When you mention the words HydroQuebec, that will automatically raise concern.”

The four representatives nodded glumly.
And stupidly, I might add.  Transmission is bad enough without ghost projects adding to the hatred.

It seems that every contested and vanquished transmission project from the past 15-20 years has been resurrected.

Remember PATH, the Potomac-Appalachian Transmission Highline?  It's back.  But instead of just the revised, re-routed project that PATH finally settled on, former PATH partner FirstEnergy has proposed BOTH the original PATH route through Morgan, Berkeley and Jefferson Counties AND the revised PATH route through Frederick County, VA, southern Jefferson County, WV, Loudoun County, VA and Frederick County Maryland.  This is FirstEnergy's recent proposal for PJM's competitive transmission window.  On a map, it looks like this:
Picture
The northern line on the map is described like this:
Component title:  Fort Martin - Doubs 500 kV #1 Line

Project description: 
Construct ~158 miles of new 500 kV line from Fort Martin Substation to Doubs Substation.Terminate the new transmission line and revise relay settings at Doubs and Fort Martin substations.Install fiber OPGW along the new line route. The construction of this new line will require the acquisition of 158 miles of new right-of-way, forestry clearing, permitting, and access road construction. Re-terminate the Bismark 500 kV Line at Doubs Substation. Aerial LiDAR will be required. This new transmission line will require Proposal Components 1 (Doubs Substation - Install500 kV Breaker), 2 (Doubs Substation - Expand 500 kV), and 4 (Fort Martin Substation - Install 500kV Breaker) to be completed.

This new 500 kV line will be constructed in West Virginia, Virginia, and Maryland. Full Applications
will be required in each state. - It is assumed that the new 500 kV line will parallel existing ROW for approximately (85.6) miles and require (74.4) miles of new ROW not adjacent to existing ROW. It is assumed that no existing lines will be overbuilt with double circuit structures, but existing line rebuilds will be considered where applicable. - Approximately (695) parcels will be affected by the line route. Assumed 5% condemnation (35 parcels).

The right-of-way width is assumed to be 200 ft. This width is based on the widest ROW needed for
500 kV and does not account for structure configuration or span lengths. Widths needed may vary upon final design.

The new Fort Martin-Doubs #1 500 kV Line will be constructed on double circuit 500 kV tubular
steel monopole and two-Pole structures. The second 500 kV circuit is to be left vacant and installed at a future date. - The average span length is 1200 ft. - It is assumed that the new double circuit monopole structures will have an average height of 180 ft. Final structure heights will need to be determined during project development. FAA filing and application may be required. - The new structures will utilize custom 500 kV V-string and double I-string suspension and dead-end insulator assemblies.

This new 500 kV line provides a direct connection from the west side of the system to the east
side. - This new line provides the ability to install a second Fort Martin - Doubs 500 kV Line on the same structures, without additional right-of-way acquisition. - This new line route will provide the opportunity to loop the Fort Martin - Doubs 500 kV Line into Bedington and/or Black Oak substations in the future, if necessary for reliability or resiliency. - Greenfield construction is assumed due to outage constraints, but existing rights-of-way and corridors to rebuild lower voltage lines will be considered where applicable.
A portion of the southern line on the map from Meadow Brook to Doubs is described like this:
Component title:  Meadow Brook - Doubs 500 kV Line

Project description:  Construct 55.3 miles of new 500 kV line from Meadow Brook Substation to Doubs Substation.Terminate the new transmission line and revise relay settings at Doubs and Meadow Brook substations. Install fiber along the new line route. The construction of this new line will require the acquisition of 55.3 miles of new right-of-way, forestry clearing, permitting, and access road construction. Re-terminate the Meadow Brook - Loudon & Meadow Brook - Front Royal 500 kV lines at Meadow Brook Substation. Aerial LiDAR will be required. This new transmission line wil lrequire Proposal Components 1 (Doubs Substation - Install 500 kV Breaker), Component 2 (Doubs Substation - Expand 500 kV), and Component 3 (Meadow Brook Substation - Expand 500 kV) to be completed.

This new 500 kV line will be constructed in Virginia, West Virginia, and Maryland. Full Applications
will be required in each state. - It is assumed that the new line will parallel existing ROW for approximately (22.8) miles and require (32.5) miles of new ROW not adjacent to existing ROW. It is assumed that no existing lines will be overbuilt with double circuit structures, but existing line rebuilds will be considered where applicable. - Approximately (146) parcels will be affected by thel ine route. Assumed 5% condemnation (7 parcels).

The right-of-way width is assumed to be 200 ft. This width is based on the widest ROW needed for 500 kV and does not account for structure configuration or span lengths. Widths needed can vary upon final design.

This new line will be constructed on single circuit 500 kV tubular steel monopole structures with an
average span length of 1200 ft. - The new structures will utilize custom 500 kV V-string and double I-string suspension and dead-end insulator assemblies. - New single circuit structures will have an average height of 150 ft.

This new 500 kV Line will provide an additional and much shorter electrical path between Meadow
Brook and Doubs linking the Black Oak-Bedington corridor with the 'AP South' corridor. - Greenfield construction is assumed due to outage constraints, but existing rights-of-way and corridors to rebuild lower voltage lines will be considered where applicable.
In addition, FirstEnergy proposed building a new 50 mile greenfield transmission line from Pruntytown to Meadow Brook.

It's not an "either/or" proposition.  FirstEnergy wants to build BOTH old PATH ideas this time.

Here we go again!

Is this new transmission required to expand renewable power?  Look at the map, it's self-explanatory.  PJM is soliciting proposals to move more coal-fired electric generation from plants at Ft. Martin and Pruntytown into the Washington, D.C. suburbs.  New generation is needed there because these areas have closed a whole bunch of the "dirty" coal and gas fired generation that used to keep their lights on.  Instead of replacing what they closed with local renewables, they're burying their heads in the sand and pretending they don't need any new generation.  However, they're also building new data centers that use an enormous amount of power and leaving it up to grid planner PJM to find a way to keep the lights on and the data centers humming.  The new PATH is one proposal for PJM to do just that.  Hardly "clean and green" is it?  It's a step back 20 years in time, when PATH was proposed to move 5,000 MW of coal-fired electricity from southern West Virginia to the D.C. metro area.

So, what happens next?  PJM says it will select projects from its huge proposal list in September.  Once selected, it proposes to have the favored projects approved by its Board in December of this year.  See timeline here (these projects are in 2022 RTEP Window 3):
Picture
After being beaten into submission the first time, PATH abandoned its project and collected over $150M from electric customers like us for a project that was never built.  How much will it cost us the second time around? 

Keep your eyes on this one.  PATH did not happen the first time due to widespread opposition.  We're still here and we remember.
2 Comments

PJM's Stupendous Plan To Build New Transmission in WV, MD, VA and PA

6/16/2023

1 Comment

 
Perhaps sensing a ripe opportunity, PJM Interconnection has opened a project window to solve multiple thermal overloads in the 4-state area.  PJM says all these overloads are caused by:
  1. Proliferation of data centers in Northern Virginia that have caused increased load.
  2. Generator deactivations - i.e. closing of large baseload fossil fuel electric generators in the DC and Baltimore suburbs.
  3. Need for bulk electricity transfers from places where plants have not closed (i.e. West Virginia, Pennsylvania.)
  4. Offshore wind.
  5. New planning procedures.
A map of the overloads looks like this:
Picture
PJM's new procedures call for competitive transmission proposals.  Instead of awarding a massive project like PATH to its favored incumbent transmission owners in a smoky back room, PJM is now required to post a "problem" window to solicit possible solutions submitted by any company.  PJM publicly posts solutions without identifying who proposed them, then makes a decision on which idea best solves the problem.  Except in this instance, the problem was so large it drew solutions consisting of 72 Proposals from 10 entities, of which 7 are incumbents and 3 are non-incumbents.  16 Projects are upgrades, while 50 are Greenfield.  Greenfield means new transmission (or substations) on new rights-of-way.  There are projects proposed all over the map, from eastern Maryland to northern Virginia to southeastern Pennsylvania to eastern West Virginia.  I'm only going to concentrate on just a few for this blog.

First, here's a PJM map showing existing substations and transmission lines.  You're going to need it to follow along on the written routes.

Picture
Black Oak - Doubs Greenfield 500kV Transmission Line

The project starts at Black Oak and heads east, paralleling the existing Black Oak - Bedington corridor, for ~6 miles. The line continues east for approximately 10 miles but strays away from the existing corridor due to infrastructure build up that has occurred around the corridor in this area. The line then heads southeast where it parallels the existing Hampshire to Ridgeley 138kV corridor for
approximately 16 miles. At this point the rebuild of the existing Hampshire to Stonewall 138kV line begins. The line will be upgraded to 500/138kV double circuit. The route follows this corridor until it meets up with the Stonewall Substation. At this point the route follows the existing Stonewall to Millville 138kV line. This line will be rebuilt to 500/138kV for its entire length. After the Millville substation the route follows the Millville to Doubs 138kV transmission line. This line is rebuilt to 500/138kV until a few spans outside of the Doubs substation. The 500kV circuit diverges from the 138kV centerline and connects into the 500kV Doubs substation. 

Most high-voltage transmission projects will
require a state siting approval. To begin the siting approval process, Proposer plans to hold
pre-application meetings with the regulatory agency to introduce Proposer and the Project, as well as confirm its understanding of the process. Shortly thereafter, Proposer will simultaneously begin collecting siting data and start its outreach efforts so that public siting input is incorporated at the earliest stages of the Project. Once the Proposer identifies a preferred site/route and at least one viable alternative site/route, Proposer will carry out environmental and detailed engineering work in order to establish a highly- detailed Project plan to support the siting applications.

The project will feature a right of way width of 175 feet for the green field portion of the project. The ROW will parallel existing corridor for the first ~31 miles (the greenfield portion). For the rebuild portion, the transmission line should fit in the existing corridor, however the transmission operator may decide to expand the right-of-way.

The proposed line will cross over the Black Oak to Bedington 500kV transmission line., The proposed line will cross over the Black Oak to Junction 138kV transmission line in two locations., The proposed line will cross over the Double Tollgate to Millville 138kV transmission line., The proposed line will cross over the Hampshire to Ridgeley 138kV transmission line in three locations., The proposed line will cross over the Mt Storm to Doubs 500kV transmission line in three locations.

The preliminary design for the single circuit transmission line utilizes tubular steel monopole structures with davit arms and v-string insulators in a delta configuration. The 500kV transmission line will utilize triangular spaced triple-bundle 1272 kcmil "Bittern" ACSS/TW MA3 conductor and two optical groundwires. The preliminary design for the double circuit 500/138kV transmission line utilizes tubular steel monopole structures with davit arms and v-string insulators in a delta configuration for the 500kV circuit and davit arms and I-string insulators in a horizontal configuration for the 138kV circuit. The 500kV transmission line will utilize triangular spaced triple-bundle 1272
kcmil "Bittern" ACSS/TW MA3 conductor and the 138kV transmission line will utilize a single 1272 kcmil "Bittern" ACSS/TW MA3. The structure will contain two optical groundwires.
Check the map.  This project will cross through Jefferson County, WV and rebuild the current 138kV line to double circuit with a 500kV.  It also proposes to snake through the congested area on the mountain that PATH had so much trouble trying to find a right of way through.  It's just too narrow with many houses just outside the right of way.

Here's another... but this one is a lot more convoluted and has many different parts.  First of all, it proposes a new Bartholow substation.  It doesn't give the exact location, but wasn't PATH's ginormous substation located on Bartholows Road?  It's somewhere in the vicinity but they aren't sharing that yet.
45F1 - New Bartholow Substation - 12 terminal

AC Air Insulated Substation (AIS): New proposed 500 - 230 kV Substation. New Breaker and a Half (BAAH) 500 kV switchyard with three (3) bays, six (6) line terminals, twelve (12) 500kV, 5000A, 63kAIC Breakers, two (2) shunt 150 MVAR capacitor banks, one (1) -300 to +500 MVAR Static VAR Compensator (SVC), two (2) 500 - 230 kV transformer banks. New BAAH 230 kV switchyard with three (3) bays, six (6) line terminals, eleven (11) 230 kV, 5000A, 80 kAIC breakers.



Environmental constraints identified are manageable through implementation of an environmental avoidance, minimization, and mitigation strategy incorporated at the beginning of the routing/siting process. Co-location with existing utilities and other infrastructure was prioritized to the greatest extent practicable to minimize the environmental impact on the landscape. The proposed site crosses no national wetland inventory (NWI) wetlands or waterbodies. Fatal flaws have not been identified for proposed site. A cultural resource professional assisted with the siting process to identify and minimize impacts to known areas with historic sensitivities. An investigation to further identify and evaluate historic properties will be conducted to determine the presence of archaeologically or historically significant resources. Federally listed species have been identified with potential to occur in the area including listed bats, but no critical habitat was identified in the area of the substation site. If suitable habitat is identified or regulations change, agency coordination and species-specific surveys will occur. The project intends to adhere to tree removal seasonal restriction windows to avoid and minimize impacts to protected birds and bats, such as the northern long-eared bat, bald eagle, and other common raptors. Erosion control best management practices and setbacks will be engineered and utilized to prevent sedimentation from leaving the site for the protection of aquatic species and to avoid water quality impacts. There are no unique or sensitive environmental concerns or impacts with the proposed substation site that cannot be addressed.



The Company is committed to working with all interested stakeholders through a robust public outreach program to address/respond to community concerns and inform the public about the project to the greatest extent practicable. The Company believes a well-designed public outreach program can have numerous benefits, including fostering a cooperative relationship with landowners and other stakeholders, expediting the regulatory permitting process, and assisting with project development. In general, the purpose of the community outreach plan is to gain community support for the project. In the affected communities, the Company’s public outreach plan will educate the public and relevant stakeholders on specific project details to enable timely regulatory approvals and construction activities. Elements of the public outreach plan will include the following: 1) Identify potential issues at an early stage by engagement with key community stakeholders at the outset; 2) Broaden the community engagement process to identify potential and relevant community benefits that can facilitate community support for the proposed project; 3) Develop a broad base of community support for the proposed project before the regulatory agencies; and 4) Develop a comprehensive administrative record documenting the community outreach process that can be presented to the regulatory agency or, in the event of a legal challenge, to the appropriate court. The outreach plan proposes to dedicate considerable time and resources in engaging the community, and specifically the affected community during the planning process to identify highly sensitive areas that have the least amount of cultural, environmental, and social impacts on the community. The plans will reflect avoidance of impacts rather than mitigation. However, in some cases, if avoidance is not possible, then the Company will involve the community in providing appropriate and practical mitigation measures. The Company will commence its public outreach activities following project award.

Of course, a new substation needs new transmission lines, and there are several proposed:
40AB1 - New two single circuit 230kV transmission lines from new Bartholow substation to new Grisham substation

General route description
The route is approximately 35 miles long. The component is two single circuit 230kV transmission lines to satisfy contingency requirements with utilizing a shared tower, however the towers can be designed in such a way that they are staggered and offset as to utilize the same ROW width as a double circuit 230kV transmission line. This provides the reliability of two single circuits and the permitting and constructability requirements similar to a single double circuit tower installation. Starting at a new dead-end structure at the new Bartholow substation, the route follows the existing Doubs - Brighton 500kV transmission ROW west - southwest for almost 8 miles, expanding the existing ROW. Minor adjustments may be needed for reducing impacts to buildings and residences. The route turns south where Bennet Creek intersects with the existing Doubs - Brighton 500kV transmission ROW and then routes on the eastern side of Sugarloaf Mountain for about 12 miles before then co-locating with the existing Doubs - Goose Creek 500KV transmission ROW. The route follows the existing transmission ROW on the eastern side, expanding the existing ROW, with slight deviation at the Leesburg Water Treatment Plant to avoid impact to operations at the facility. The route shifts underground on the north side of the Potomac River at the Leesburg Water Treatment Plant to reduce viewshed issues with crossing the river and spatial constraints on the south side of the river. The lines remain underground along the Doubs - Goose Creek 500kV ROW corridor until returning to overhead construction around the southeast corner of Crosstrail Blvd and Harry Byrd Hwy. The lines follow the Harry Byrd Hwy until turning south on the east side of Loudoun County Pkwy. The lines shift to the west side of Loudoun County Pkwy near the intersection with the Washington and Old Dominion trail to avoid conflicts with the 1757 Golf Club. The lines then share a common double circuit transmission tower for remaining duration of the route as it is less than 1 mile and is advantageous to utilize a double circuit tower for cost effectiveness.

The Project is located in the valley south of the Potomac River in Loudon County, traversing north through Montgomery and Frederick Counties in Maryland. A former agricultural region, Loudon County is now densely developed with commercial buildings and planned residential communities within commuting distance to Washington, D.C. Some industrial facilities are located to the south of the project area. Slopes are gentle, approximately 4%. The project terminates on the north side of the Potomac River in Frederick, Maryland where the topography is generally rolling. Elevations range from a low of near sea level along the Potomac River to about 875 feet. The river valley’s topography includes little steep terrain, but some steep gradients do exist adjacent to the river. These land elevations and the degree of slope have influenced land use in the watershed. The region’s relatively flat topography has made it easily accessible for development and agriculture in some areas next to the river and its tributaries.
The new right of way will have its own corridor for approximately 60% of the route length. The right of way will be an expansion of an existing transmission line corridor for approximately 35% of the route length. The right of way width will be 60 feet and it will accommodate 2-230kV lines. Approximately 5% of the route will be underground in narrower and congested areas where overhead construction was considered not feasible. Where underground transmission line segments are not sited by permits issued by the Authority Having Jurisdiction, a 40 ft wide right of way would be required for construction.

The proposed structures for each of the two proposed lines will be single circuit 230kV steel monopoles (TVVS-230) in a vertical conductor configuration. Any proposed dead-end structure will be a steel monopole. The portion of the route proposed to be underground will utilize duct bank construction with 3-cables per phase and splicing vaults at regular intervals.

43e - New 230kV transmission line from new Bartholow substation to existing Mt. Airy substation

The route is approximately 5 miles long. Starting a new deadend structure at the new Bartholow substation, the line routes northeast along the northside of the existing Conastone to Brighton 500kV transmission ROW. The line follows the existing ROW for about 4.25 miles before turning north, routing to the Mt Airy substation and then terminating at the substation.

The project is located in the Piedmont Upland portion of Maryland’s Frederick County. The Frederick Valley, through which the Monocacy flows, is nestled between the Catoctin Mountains to the west, and the lower Parrs Ridge to the east. The river valley’s topography includes little steep terrain, but some steep gradients do exist adjacent to the river. These land elevations and the degree of slope have influenced land use in the watershed. This section is underlain by metamorphic, igneous, and sedimentary materials, related to volcanic activity that occurred in Precambrian time. The region is comprised of rolling upland with herringbone texture and underlain with siltstones and quartzites.

The new right of way will be an expansion of an existing transmission line corridor for approximately 90% of the route length. The right of way will have its own corridor for approximately 10% of the route length. For approximately 1 mile, the right of way width will be 45 ft, for approximately 3.3 miles, the right of way will be 60 ft and will accommodate a portion of component 47ad within it. For approximately 0.5 miles the right of way will be 40 ft wide.
The majority, approximately 80% of the proposed structures will be single circuit 230kV steel monopoles (TVVS-230) in a vertical conductor configuration. Approximately 20% of the structures will be double circuit 230kV steel monopoles (TVVS-230DC) in a vertical conductor configuration. Any proposed dead-end structure will be a steel monopole.

47abc - New 500kV transmission line from new Goram substation to new Bartholow substation

The route is approximately 61 miles long. Starting a new dead end structure at the new Bartholow substation, the line routes northeast along the north side of the existing Brighton to Conastone 500kV transmission ROW. The line follows the existing ROW for about 49 miles and then turns north where the Otter Creek to Conastone 230kV transmission ROW coincides with the Conastone to Brighton 500kV transmission ROW. The line then follows along the west side of the Conastone to Otter Creek 230kV transmission ROW until it reaches the new Goram substation where it terminates.

The project is located in Maryland’s Frederick, Carroll and Baltimroe counties east of the Monocacy River. The Frederick Valley, through which the Monocacy flows, is nestled between the Catoctin Mountains to the west, and the lower Parrs Ridge to the east. The river valley’s topography includes little steep terrain, but some steep gradients do exist adjacent to the river. These land elevations and the degree of slope have influenced land use in the watershed. The region’s relatively flat topography has made it easily accessible for development and agriculture in some areas next to the river and its tributaries. The project continues north into the Piedmone Upland area of York County, Pennsylvania, characterized by rolling hills and valleys, generally with gentle to moderately steep slopes. However, steeper slopes with narrow valley bottoms dominate near the Susquehanna River. Many higher ridges are underlain by more resistant bedrock such as quartzite. This Section was formed by fluvial erosion and some peri-glacial wasting and averages about 600-700 feet in elevation. The drainage pattern of the area is considered to be dendritic. Slopes in the range of 0-8% are common throughout York County.

The proposed structures will be single circuit 500kV steel monopoles (TVVS-500) in a vertical delta configuration. Any proposed deadend structure will either be a 3-pole, one phase per pole configuration.

There may be more we haven't found yet.  PJM's plan is to review the submitted proposals and provide more updates at the July TEAC meeting.  PJM is targeting Dec 2023 Board Approval – Oct and Nov TEAC 1st and 2nd reads.  Hopefully PJM will provide a full list at the July meeting, along with its preliminary evaluation and ranking of proposed projects.  None of these ideas have been accepted and ordered by PJM yet, but... get ready... they could be.

It's been really quiet in our area since PATH died but now the push is on nationally to double or triple the amount of transmission built.  For every transmission line you see now, there will be two new ones.  That's a lot of transmission!  And if you haven't been following along for the past decade (the Post-PATH era of peaceful rebuilds and upgrades) there are many new laws and policies that will come into play this time around.  Just to name one... Congress gave FERC the authority to site and permit new transmission located in a National Interest Transmission Corridor (NIETC) in the event that a state denied a permit.   Getting a NIETC is easier than ever now.  The U.S. DOE will be handing them out like candy to any transmission developer that requests one.

Let's hope PJM remembers the black eye we gave the last transmission proposal that attempted to site here and moves on to other pastures.  We've also expanded our opposition team by connecting with other groups that successfully fought proposed transmission lines on the eastern half of the map and don't want to see more.  It's going to be the motherlode of opposition.

For now, keep your fingers crossed... and get reacquainted with your opposition self.  It's coming.

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The Blackouts Are Coming!  The Blackouts Are Coming!

3/2/2023

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Picture
It seems not even Paul Revere could alert our biased mainstream media to cover a recent paper from PJM Interconnection that reports major grid reliability problems on the horizon if we continue down our current path toward the Emerald City of Green Energy and Unicorn Farts.

When the biggest electric grid operator in the country reports
For the first time in recent history, PJM could face decreasing reserve margins should these trends – high load growth, increasing rates of generator retirements, and slower entry of new resources – continue. The amount of generation retirements appears to be more certain than the timely arrival of replacement generation resources, given that the quantity of retirements is codified in various policy objectives, while the impacts to the pace of new entry of the Inflation Reduction Act, post-pandemic supply chain issues, and other externalities are still not fully understood.
What this means is that big energy generators that can run any time they are needed are being shut down and they are not being replaced with new generators that can keep up with demand.  Eventually, this hot potato is going to land and the lights are going to go out.

Maintaining an adequate level of generation resources, with the right operational and physical characteristics, is essential for PJM’s ability to serve electrical demand through the energy transition.
Our research highlights four trends below that we believe, in combination, present increasing reliability risks during the transition, due to a potential timing mismatch between resource retirements, load growth and the pace of new generation entry under a possible “low new entry” scenario:

The growth rate of electricity demand is likely to continue to increase from electrification coupled with the proliferation of high-demand data centers in the region.

Thermal generators are retiring at a rapid pace due to government and private sector policies as well as economics.

Retirements are at risk of outpacing the construction of new resources, due to a combination of industry forces, including siting and supply chain, whose long-term impacts are not fully known.

PJM’s interconnection queue is composed primarily of intermittent and limited-duration resources. Given the operating characteristics of these resources, we need multiple megawatts of these resources to replace 1 MW of thermal generation.
Well, thanks a lot, policy makers!  Electricity is soon going to be a commodity only for the moneyed elite, coincidentally the same people who have created this certain Armageddon.

And the only people interested in reporting this clarion call of impending doom were bloggers, trade press, and media outlets designated biased and unacceptable.  Where were the mainstream media?  They were too busy pretending that a whole bunch of new transmission would allow regions like PJM to "borrow" power from neighboring regions to keep the lights on.  Except those regions are also struggling with the same issues and were expecting to borrow from PJM.  Or maybe they were making up stories about how the grid is failing.  Or that the weather is getting worse.  Or that we need lots more wind and solar to stop climate change.  Or maybe there are too many plastic straws?

What happens when the blackouts start?  We almost had one in PJM on Christmas Eve.  And because we were short on generation here, and the Tennessee Valley Authority could not borrow from us, they actually DID have blackouts.  And still the policy idiots who have never even seen PJM's control room, much less talked to the heroes who work there, blathered on about needing more wind + solar + batteries + transmission.  My eyes are wide open and I'm seeing that the independent entities whose responsibility is keeping the lights on are increasingly concerned that we're on the path to disaster.  In this day of cancel culture, many walk on egg shells to issue a warning without ending up fired, with 100 filthy protestors littering in their front yard and preventing their neighbors from sleeping.

It's real.  It's happening.  Faster and faster and faster every day.  We are retiring too much fossil fuel generation and not replacing it with anything.  Let's hope it doesn't damage the grid and plunge us into months or years of darkness before these idiots wake up.

The blackouts are coming!
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New Jersey Wants Other States to Pay for its Environmental Laws

10/5/2022

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As Gomer Pyle used to say:
RTO Insider reports:
New Jersey officials hope to engage in “horse trading” with other PJM states over the cost allocation of transmission needed to meet their climate goals, a key state regulator said last week.

“The other clean energy states and PJM are looking at billions of dollars of transmission upgrades if we do it the way we’re doing it now, when we can meet all the needs of the entire PJM region at approximately the same price,” he said. “So there’s a lot of room for horse trading, if we can get the parties to the table.”

The SAA leaves New Jersey “almost in a hostage situation at the moment,” Silverman said. “The transmission projects that we are planning benefit many states in PJM; they will see lower production costs as a result of these upgrades. But because of the way the system works, we are solely responsible for the cost. That needs to change.”

Oh, please, you're a hostage of your own actions, New Jersey!

New Jersey asked PJM to solicit transmission proposals that would support offshore wind under PJM's "State Agreement Approach" that allows a state to put new transmission in PJM's plan, but only if they agree to pay for it.  ALL OF IT.  One hundred percent!

But now that New Jersey has "estimated costs would be $5 billion to $34 billion" it suddenly wants other states to pay for some of it because they may receive some fake "production cost" benefits that they never asked for and don't need (if they did, PJM would plan a transmission line outside the SAA).

Benefits are not "benefits" when you don't need them.  It's like charging you for a dessert you don't want or need, but it looks good on the table and you might just take a bite.

So, what do you think?  Did New Jersey honestly intend to pay for these offshore wind lines itself before it found out how expensive it was going to be, or was it just pretending all along?  Did New Jersey think that it could influence other states to take a bite once the dessert was on the table?

Sneaky, sneaky, but I'm sure some PJM states won't have any problem at all saying "no" and letting New Jersey pay for its own legislative boondoggles.

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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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